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24 октября 2013, 4:00 am Автор 
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    By Andrea Shalal

    WASHINGTON, Oct 11 (Reuters) -

    A price cap on Russian seaborne oil deliveries being developed by the United States and G7 countries could significantly
    reduce Russia's revenues while encouraging Moscow to continue to produce oil, 16 economists from top U.S.

    and British universities told U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen.

    The cap, agreed in principle last month by the Group of Seven rich
    countries, should lower Russia's revenues by
    strengthening the negotiating position of any buyers, economists including Simon Johnson at the Sloan School of Management
    at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Harvard
    University's Jason Furman and the University of Chicago's Ryan Kellogg said
    in a letter to Yellen, which was reviewed by Reuters.


    "While we do not expect all trades will be performed under the price cap, its existence should materially increase the bargaining power of private and public sector entities that buy Russian oil," they
    wrote in the letter, dated Oct.

    11.

    The European Union last week approved its eighth batch of sanctions against
    Russia for its invasion of Ukraine including the price cap, but said more
    work was required for its implementation.

    Concerns about the uncertainty created by the price cap are one reason Saudi officials backed OPEC+ output cuts
    last week.

    U.S.

    officials on Tuesday said work was continuing on the measure.


    A senior U.S. Treasury official said the OPEC+ production cut would raise energy costs for countries already struggling with high prices - and could prompt some to
    look for opportunities to buy oil under the price cap once Europe stopped buying Russian oil after
    Dec.

    5.

    "It creates a real opportunity for some of these countries that are facing the challenge to try and buy oil under the price cap in order to alleviate both the budgetary pressures ... and the headline inflation pressure," the official said.


    The price cap would maintain economic incentives for Russia to keep
    producing at current volumes, while reducing its revenues, the economists wrote.



    Russia still supplied oil to world markets in April 2020, when the Brent
    benchmark was close to $20 a barrel, because that price was above the cost of
    production in many or most existing Russian oil fields, they noted.


    The price of Brent now is around $96 per barrel.

    Russia receives less due to the "Urals discount" reflecting the impact of Russia's invasion of
    Ukraine, a gap that has shrunk in recent weeks.

    "The oil price cap proposal would effectively institutionalize the Urals discount and consequently further lower the dollar value of the Russian government´s primary revenue stream," they said.

    Daniel Berkowitz at the University of Pittsburgh; Severin Borenstein, Yuriy
    Gorodnichenko, Carl Shapiro and Anastassia Fedyk at the University of California, Berkeley,
    and Rick Van der Ploeg at the University of Oxford were also among
    the signatories. (Reporting by Andrea Shalal; Editing by Heather Timmons, Marguerita Choy and Leslie Adler)





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